Why Everybody Thinks They’re Above Average

One of the better-known psychology factoids is that 80% of people tend to think they are above average (if you don’t know this, you’re clearly in the “below-average” 20%). However, not much attention has been paid the underlying judgment mechanisms that lead people to over-estimate their abilities. A new study explains this tendency by finding evidence for what the researchers call the “better-than-my-average-effect.” Essentially, we evaluate how we really are by looking at our best performances, but when we evaluate others we tend to focus on their average performance.

In Studies 1a and 1b, participants were more likely to believe that their own most attractive photographs best represent their typical appearance than others’ do. In Study 2, participants’ estimates of where they stand on various trait dimensions coincided with their highest possible standing, whereas their estimates of an acquaintance’s standing coincided with the midpoint between the latter’s highest and lowest possible standing. In Study 3, regression analyses revealed that students’ predictions of their own final exam score were based most heavily on their highest score received to that point, but their predictions of someone else’s final exam score was based most heavily on that student’s average score.

The tendency to focus on your best outcomes may seem like a cute little bias, but it can cause problems if it gets generalized to the group level. For example, it can contribute to the beliefs that make it difficult to persuade people to change their political views or compromise on policy. When a republican evaluates conservative policies (i.e. their “own” ability”), they will focus on past peak outcomes (Reagan) rather than the average performance (Bush who?) Similarly, a democrat will evaluate liberal policies through the lens of FDR or Bill Clinton. When it comes to evaluating the opposing party, neither person will be as generously close-minded. The result it that people tend to believe their political views are always right. Unless Fox News is willing to air a VH1 style “100 Worst Conservative Policy Blunders” series, these beliefs are unlikely to change.
Williams, E.F & Gilovich, T. (2011). The better-than-my-average effect: The relative impact of peak and average performances in assessments of the self and others Journal of Experimental Social Psychology

3 Responses to Why Everybody Thinks They’re Above Average

  1. Will says:

    Most people (>> 99%) have an above average number of legs.

    (More people have lost a leg than have three legs, so the average is very slightly less than 2.)

  2. Pingback: Why Everybody Thinks They’re Above Average – Which Explains Why I’m so Awesome! « Dave Meehan

  3. Mmm, where do the participants come from? Can you really extrapolate Florida participants’ behavior to all people around the world? To assume that you can, you need to repeat this experiment in other places around the world. This article doesn’t write about it.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s